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New york Federal Reserve: Michelle Neal, the marketing department, resigned and will officially leave on March 25th, 2025. Neal will be a senior consultant until she leaves the bank, and she will return to work in the private sector. Anna Nordstrom will be the temporary marketing director until Neal leaves.Goldman Sachs: Given that the moderate oversupply of 400,000 barrels per day and the current normalization of low valuation almost offset each other, the basic expectation is that the average price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $76 per barrel.Goldman Sachs: Given that the moderate oversupply of 400,000 barrels per day and the current normalization of low valuation almost offset each other, the basic expectation is that the average price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $76 per barrel.

Goldman Sachs: Given that the moderate oversupply of 400,000 barrels per day and the current normalization of low valuation almost offset each other, the basic expectation is that the average price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $76 per barrel.Market News: New Zealand has put forward the reason to the United States that it hopes not to introduce new tariffs during Trump's administration.Goldman Sachs: We estimate that if the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of more than $50/barrel by the end of 2025, the growth rate of shale oil supply in the United States will fall below 100,000 barrels per day in 2025, which in turn will push the price of Brent crude oil up by $8 per barrel in 2025.

International precious metal futures closed down sharply, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87%, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87% to $2,705.2 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell by 4.25% to $31.565 per ounce.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.New york gold futures fell by 1.8%, silver futures fell by 4.2%, and mining stock Cordelen fell by 6.6%. In late new york on Thursday (December 12), spot gold fell by 1.36% to $2,681.37 per ounce, showing a downward trend throughout the day. It was as high as $2,726.23 at 09:00 Beijing time, and the US PPI was released at 21:30. Spot silver fell 2.91% to $30.9710 per ounce. COMEX gold futures fell 1.81% to $2,706.70 per ounce, with an intraday trading range of $2,761.30-$2,696.70. COMEX silver futures fell 4.19% to $31.5850 an ounce. COMEX copper futures fell 0.50% to $4.2420/lb.